Episode 7 - Trade Winds, Part 1
Who won this trade? In dynasty, the only correct answer is “both.” Jeff shows why context, timing, and strategy matter more than any calculator—and how to find edges without fleecing your league mates.
Episode Summary
Every dynasty manager has seen it: the Twitter screenshot asking, “Who won this trade?” But as Jeff Blaylock explains, that question misses the point. In this episode, he studies the “map” before we ever set sail—exploring how trade value is shaped by context, direction, and timing.
Player value isn’t fixed. It depends on your league format, roster needs, strategic direction, and risk tolerance. A quarterback like Dak Prescott might be QB7 for one team and QB18 for another, and the same logic applies to draft picks—the true currency of the realm.
Jeff demonstrates how to read trade patterns in your league history, track your opponents’ tendencies, and identify arbitrage opportunities—situations where two managers value the same asset differently. By learning when to “buy dips,” “sell hype,” and match your needs with others’, you can find win-win trades that move both teams forward.
Because the only correct answer to “Who won this trade?” is both.
Key Takeaways / Highlights
“Who won this trade? Both.”
Context is king. Player and pick values depend on each manager’s situation.
Learn from trade history—past behavior predicts future negotiation styles.
Monitor NFL news for shifting player values and hidden buying windows.
Master arbitrage—profit from valuation differences without fleecing anyone.
“Winning trades” isn’t about extraction; it’s about progress in your direction.
Every good trade is a win-win trade.
Chapter Timestamps
00:00 – Who won this trade?
00:48 – Welcome / the compass metaphor
02:15 – Trade winds and dynasty directions
03:43 – Context is king
05:23 – Different values for the same player
07:31 – The only correct answer to “Who won this trade?”
08:31 – Finding an edge
09:59 – Learning from trade history
11:50 – Paying attention to NFL news
12:34 – Arbitrage in fantasy football
16:01 – Example 1: The Dak Prescott deal
20:06 – Example 2: Turning trades into arbitrage
22:58 – Context > Rankings
24:08 – Next week preview
Related Links / Mentions
Watch this episode on YouTube
Listen to this episode on Apple Podcasts or Spotify
Ep. 8: Trade Winds, Part 2
