Free Agency Fallout: Buy/Sell/Hold with Alan Seslowsky (Part II)

Buy-Sell-Hold Trade Strategy with Alan Seslowsky

Some of the best dynasty buys of the offseason are the players nobody wants right now. Jeff and RotoWire’s Alan Seslowsky continue their conversation about the post-free agency landscape for dynasty managers.

"This is the run-into-the-burning-building player of this year. Nobody wants A.J. Brown. He can't even get traded."

In Episode 30 of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock continues his conversation with RotoWire dynasty analyst Alan Seslowsky — picking up mid-offseason and working through the players whose dynasty values shifted most dramatically in free agency. The episode opens with Travis Etienne's move to New Orleans, where both hosts are bullish on his 1A role in a run-first offense that never tanks, and even more intrigued by what Etienne's departure means for Bhayshul Tuten's opportunity in Jacksonville. From there the conversation works through Rico Dowdle's limited but real value in Pittsburgh, the troublesome Panthers backfield, and the complicated situations facing Courtland Sutton and De’Von Achane in the wake of bigger moves around them.

A.J. Brown — identified by Alan as the run-into-the-burning-building buy of the entire offseason – is still in Philadelphia, still largely untradeable, but very likely a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in 2026. He’s available at the 1.08-1.12 price range for dynasty managers willing to absorb the uncertainty. Jeff and Alan work through the Waddle-versus-Brown question directly, landing on a nuanced answer that depends entirely on what role you need filled. The episode then rolls through Mike Evans in San Francisco, D.J. Moore in Buffalo, Wan'Dale Robinson in Tennessee, Isaiah Likely and the complicated situation he leaves behind, and why Chig Okonkwo may be the sneakiest winner of free agency.

The episode closes with the unsigned players — Tyreek Hill, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Jauan Jennings — and makes the case that all four are buy-now targets before landing spots inflate their price. Jeff and Alan finish by turning the lens on themselves: which veterans across the league are about to get kneecapped by Jeremiyah Love's landing spot, and how are they each thinking about their picks in the degenerate four-quarterback league they share.

Key Takeaways

  • Travis Etienne is a quiet buy. New Orleans is an offense that always goes for it, and Etienne is the clear 1A. Bhayshul Tuten's opportunity in Jacksonville is also rising with him gone.

  • A.J. Brown is the burning building buy of the offseason. Nobody wants him right now — which is exactly the point. At 1.08-1.12 price, he's a WR3 who can be your WR1 several weeks.

  • Mike Evans is an easy one-year mercenary buy in San Francisco — think Davante Adams last year — and the ripple effects improve Ricky Pearsall, Bucky Irving, and the rest of the Buccaneers' WR room simultaneously.

  • Buy the unsigned players now. Tyreek Hill, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Jauan Jennings are all dynasty adds while they're still in limbo. The price rises once landing spots are set.

  • Jeremiyah Love's landing spot is the most consequential draft event for dynasty veterans. Wherever he goes, running backs already there are in serious trouble. Cam Skattebo is the most obvious casualty.

  • Know your format and draft it. Alan's closing advice — from winning a four-quarterback league by taking C.J. Stroud in the second round — is that you have to play the format you're actually in, not the format you wish you were in.

Timestamps

00:00 — Intro
00:50 — Travis Etienne & Jaguars Impacts
04:23 — Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh
08:19 — The Panthers Backfield: Hubbard, Brooks & Trevor Etienne
12:35 — Courtland Sutton & De'Von Achane: Hold or Move?
14:51 — The Seattle Backfield Without Kenneth Walker
18:08 — Time to Buy A.J. Brown or Jaylen Waddle?
22:13 — Mike Evans to San Francisco: Easy Buy
25:35 — DJ Moore to Buffalo & Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee
32:08 — Isaiah Likely, Mark Andrews & David Njoku
35:30 — Chig Okonkwo: Sneaky Winner of Free Agency
38:29 — Aiyuk, Hill, Deebo & Jauan Jennings: Buy the Unsigned
41:58 — Who Gets Kneecapped by the Rookie Draft?
45:31 — What We're Doing with Our Picks

Related Links & Tools

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Finding Rookie Sleepers Before the NFL Draft with Alfredo Brown

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Pre-Draft Trade Strategy with Alan Seslowsky, Part I